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															<a class="a-link" href="https://www.scbeic.com/th/detail/product/9467">SCB EIC มองเศรษฐกิจไทยมีแนวโน้มฟื้นตัวตามการท่องเที่ยวและแรงกระตุ้นการคลัง แต่ปัญหาเชิงโครงสร้างจะยังกดดันให้เศรษฐกิจฟื้นตัวช้าในระยะต่อไป</a>
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														<p class="-txt_trending_sub_title f_reg">SCB EIC ประเมินเศรษฐกิจไทยจะฟื้นตัวแบบค่อยเป็นค่อยไป แม้ยังมีแรงส่งจากการบริโภคภาคเอกชนและท่องเที่ยวโดยเฉพาะในเดือน เม.ย. จากเทศกาลสงกรานต์</p>
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															<a class="a-link" href="https://www.scbeic.com/th/detail/product/9445">Outlook ไตรมาส 1/2024</a>
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														<p class="-txt_trending_sub_title f_reg">ภาคการผลิตไทยปรับตัวช้าฉุดเศรษฐกิจระยะยาว SCB EIC มองดอกเบี้ยไทยจะปรับลด 2 ครั้งภายในครึ่งแรกของปี</p>
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															<a class="a-link" href="https://www.scbeic.com/th/detail/product/9426">SCB EIC ประเมินอัตราดอกเบี้ยนโยบายลดลงในปีนี้ ตาม Momentum เศรษฐกิจไทยและเงินเฟ้อแผ่วลงมาก</a>
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														<p class="-txt_trending_sub_title f_reg">SCB EIC มองจะเห็นการปรับลดอัตราดอกเบี้ยนโยบายในปีนี้จาก 1) เศรษฐกิจและเงินเฟ้อแผ่วลงมากในปีนี้ และ 2) Neutral rate ต่ำลงจากปัจจัยเชิงโครงสร้างเศรษฐกิจ</p>
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															<a class="a-link" href="https://www.scbeic.com/th/detail/product/9372">SCB EIC คาดอุตสาหกรรมก่อสร้างปี 2024 ขยายตัว 2%YOY แตะ 1.4 ล้านล้านบาท แนะผู้รับเหมาควบคุมต้นทุน บริหารสภาพคล่อง และลดการปล่อย CO2</a>
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														<p class="-txt_trending_sub_title f_reg">ภาคก่อสร้างยังเผชิญความท้าทายจากต้นทุนก่อสร้างที่ยังอยู่ในระดับสูง ความเสี่ยงด้านสภาพคล่องทางการเงิน และแรงกดดันในการลดการปล่อย CO2</p>
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															<a class="a-link" href="https://www.scbeic.com/th/detail/product/9353">อุตสาหกรรมน้ำตาลในปี 2024 ยังขยายตัวได้ แม้จะเผชิญปัญหาภัยแล้งรุนแรง</a>
														</h4>
														<p class="-txt_trending_sub_title f_reg">ในระยะกลางอุตสาหกรรมน้ำตาลยังมีแนวโน้มขยายตัวต่อเนื่อง โดยได้รับปัจจัยหนุนจากปริมาณผลผลิตน้ำตาลของไทยและความต้องการบริโภคน้ำตาล</p>
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															<a class="a-link" href="https://www.scbeic.com/th/detail/product/9299">SCB EIC มองตลาดพื้นที่สำนักงานให้เช่าและตลาดพื้นที่ค้าปลีกให้เช่าปี 2024 ยังมีแนวโน้มขยายตัวอย่างค่อยเป็นค่อยไป</a>
														</h4>
														<p class="-txt_trending_sub_title f_reg">แต่ในระยะต่อไป ยังต้องเผชิญความเสี่ยงอุปทานส่วนเกินที่เพิ่มมากขึ้น และความท้าทายต่าง ๆ รวมถึงแรงกดดันจากเทรนด์ ESG</p>
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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK / SCB EIC MONTHLY

08 ตุลาคม 2019

Outlook ไตรมาส 4/2019

ภาพรวมเศรษฐกิจไทยปี 2019 และปี 2020

ภาพรวมเศรษฐกิจไทยปี 2019 และปี 2020

ภาพรวมเศรษฐกิจโลกปี 2019 และปี 2020

• Box: การประท้วงในฮ่องกง และผลกระทบต่อเศรษฐกิจฮ่องกงและไทย
• Box: กัมพูชาและความเสี่ยงการโดนเพิกถอน EBA จาก EU ในปี 2020

เศรษฐกิจไทยปี 2019
• ประมาณการเศรษฐกิจไทยปี 2019
• ประมาณการเศรษฐกิจไทยปี 2020
• Box: คาดการณ์เศรษฐกิจปี 2020 ในกรณีต่าง ๆ
• Box: วิเคราะห์ความสามารถในการดึงดูดการลงทุนจากต่างประเทศของไทยเทียบกับคู่แข่ง

มุมมองภาวะการเงินไทยและต่างประเทศปี 2019 และปี 2020

Bull-Bear: ราคาน้ำมัน

Data Analytics : เรียนสูง + เกรดสวย + ย้ายบ่อย = เงินเดือนดี?

In Focus: ดัชนีภาวะการณ์เงินไทย

• Box: การสร้างดัชนีภาวะการเงินไทย และภาวะการเงินไทยในช่วงสองทศวรรษที่ผ่านมา

ดาวน์โหลดเอกสารภาษาไทยเพื่ออ่านต่อฉบับเต็ม

Get the additional info

Outlook_Q4_2019.pdf 10.05 MB

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