Author: Narithtorn Tulaphol
With changing consumer preferences and an aging society in the next 15 years, growth prospects for the dietary supplements market in Thailand may not be as bright as before. EIC recommends three strategies for businesses to sail through these upcoming challenges, namely 1) tailor products to the elderly, 2) develop supplements based on herbs or natural extracts, and 3) offer personalized supplements.
Dietary supplement market is expected to expand significantly in the next 10-15 years; however, as Thailand turns into a complete aging society by 2030 and consumer demands change, the market for food supplements will shrink by an average of 8% a year. Though the dietary supplements market in Thailand during 2015-2030 has been thriving by average growth of 7% a year, thanks to health and wellness trends, rising incomes, and modern retail channels. However, EIC finds that from 2030 onwards, market values will begin to shrink as the population ages. Our survey reveals that consumers whom ages over 50 years, tend not to believe in the effectiveness of supplement consumption, and many who have tried them do not notice any obvious benefits and choose other ways to take care of their health, including more exercise or improved dietary habits. Meanwhile, demanding more natural extract products and more personalized products are significantly growing a trend. As we can see, the existing supplements products will no longer satisfy the future. If businesses do not change strategies, EIC expects the value of the dietary supplements market to shrink by 8% on average over the next 15 years (Figure 1). Thus, EIC recommends the following three strategies be adopted to meet these challenges.
The first strategy is to offer dietary supplements tailored to special need of the elderly. Based on data from the United Nations, by 2030 the elderly population (those over 65 years of age) in Thailand will account for 20% of the total population. Upon that, the demand for dietary supplements will also change accordingly. It is, thus, important for businesses to understand the demands of elderly consumers, in order to offer products that suit their needs. Potential products include brain and memory boosters, or supplements that prevent or reduce the risk of diseases common among older people, such as heart disease, hypertension, arthrosis, diabetes, cancer, as well as problems with eyesight and hearing. Currently, only a handful of these products are available. For example, in the 3-billion-baht market for multi-vitamins supplements, only 3% are vitamins for the elderly, suggesting a large untapped market and tremendous business opportunities.
The next strategy is to research and develop dietary supplements that are based on herbs or natural extracts, instead of synthetic supplements, to ride the “Back to the Nature” trend popular among today’s consumers. EIC finds that during 2011-2015 the natural supplements market grew on average as much as 13% yearly, compared to only 7-8% for the synthetic supplements market (Figure 2). This difference in growth clearly shows the impression among Thai consumers that natural supplements are safer and carry fewer side effects than synthetic ones. However, there is still only a limited variety of natural supplements in the marketplace, such as chicken essence, fruit extracts, or herbal extracts, perhaps partly because Thailand have not focused sufficiently on research and product development. Thus, to create new value-added products from herbs or natural extracts is another way in which supplements businesses can thrive.
Last but not least, businesses can offer personalized supplements. By analyzing customer’s physical data or DNA information, they can produce tailor-made supplements for each person's specific needs. These personalized supplements can be marketed on websites or applications. WellPath, an American startup, has pioneered such online personalized supplements stores. By registering on their website and filling in necessary information such as weight, height, blood group, age, gender, routine activity, and health targets, customers will receive online analysis of their health conditions from nutrition experts. A one-month package of personalized supplements from WellPath costs USD 49.95, or only about 10% more expensive than regular multi-vitamin supplements available in the market. This business model helps reduce administrative costs, such as those of running physical stores or managing supply chains, which constitute a major part of business costs. In addition, it can also help boosting brand competitiveness through the efficient exploitation of innovation and technology (Figure 3).
Figure 1: Demand for more specific and greater variety of products, as well as Thailand's transformation into an aging society starting 2030, will drag the growth of dietary supplements. Without strategy changes, the value of the supplements market will decline by 8% on average per year.Unit: % share of total population (left), THB million (right)
Source: EIC analysis based on data from United Nations World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision.
Figure 2: During the past 5 years, the value of herbal or natural extract supplements grew by as much as 13% per year, suggesting consumers’ confidence in natural products.Unit: THB million
Source: EIC analysis
Figure 3: Online personalized supplement service is a new business model that can help cut business costs and boost long-term competitiveness.